obr-macro · UK · hosted · 36 pages

An open OBR macro model for UK fiscal scoring

Current baseline: March 2026 EFO, with GDP MAPE 0.15% and consumption 0.25% over 2025Q1–2027Q4. The PDF preserves its November 2025 historical study below a dated current-vintage note.

36 pages · pdf

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Source, figures, and reproduction scripts: papers/obr-macro/

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